Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 3.403805 4.057404 4.839191 5.854106 7.152892 8.781504 1.101419e+01
2024-10-13 2.408049 3.162611 4.187630 5.723562 8.043511 11.553556 1.755850e+01
2024-10-20 2.016743 2.816648 3.996949 5.947519 9.267959 15.072289 2.701727e+01
2024-10-27 1.688717 2.462811 3.674700 5.828174 9.848220 17.748632 3.683516e+01
2024-11-03 1.562727 2.379032 3.735508 6.334212 11.691128 23.704300 5.892778e+01
2024-11-10 1.417035 2.231081 3.649433 6.538808 13.015676 29.342113 8.691719e+01
2024-11-17 1.316720 2.139275 3.638015 6.877966 14.774279 37.262396 1.348807e+02
2024-11-24 1.188641 1.976506 3.460766 6.817898 15.553884 43.040874 1.863036e+02
2024-12-01 1.097529 1.867050 3.365491 6.912890 16.791076 51.386257 2.742567e+02
2024-12-08 1.014760 1.761187 3.257921 6.950155 17.896259 60.390895 4.019191e+02
2024-12-15 0.966723 1.715680 3.267792 7.281002 20.085113 76.468859 6.870711e+02
2024-12-22 0.895428 1.614317 3.139347 7.218474 20.957705 87.620547 1.018571e+03
2024-12-29 0.827119 1.522016 3.042085 7.295896 22.724144 108.690449 1.916401e+03
2025-01-05 0.749063 1.401809 2.866485 7.124434 23.588762 127.617600 3.497956e+03
2025-01-12 0.707285 1.352455 2.848411 7.420004 26.690961 172.374631 1.022582e+04
2025-01-19 0.648777 1.258095 2.701643 7.262368 27.658273 203.263240 2.458231e+04
2025-01-26 0.633023 1.257295 2.792091 7.932396 33.513121 316.935506 3.077585e+05
2025-02-02 0.601963 1.216682 2.769798 8.204474 37.596022 440.838430 2.540712e+07
2025-02-09 0.579749 1.193833 2.791539 8.656935 43.507704 665.814418 NaN
2025-02-16 0.542695 1.130351 2.687197 8.576671 45.756081 843.625453 NaN
2025-02-23 0.515375 1.087681 2.636021 8.703626 49.908903 1172.568853 NaN
2025-03-02 0.488490 1.042984 2.571333 8.753468 53.660778 1607.959435 NaN
2025-03-09 0.473495 1.026821 2.590717 9.196884 61.961152 2717.997109 NaN